A remarkable shift in consumer spending habits
The NY Fed has an article seeking to answer the question "Have consumers been deleveraging?" And according to the story, the answer is a dramatic "yes." Here's a quote: "Between 2000 and 2007, consumers’ borrowing added an annual average of about $330 billion to the cash they could spend; by 2009, consumers were diverting $150 billion away from potential spending in order to reduce the debts they had built up. This represents a remarkable $480 billion reversal in cash flow in just two years." That IS a remarkable change in spending habits! The NY Fed is not clear whether this is by consumer choice or by design: "A remaining issue is whether this deleveraging is a result of borrowers being forced to pay down debt as credit standards tightened, or a more voluntary change in saving behavior. There is evidence on both sides of this question." It's probably a little of both, from what I'm seeing. But in the science of economics, ...